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Incheon vs Gangwon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Incheon Logo

Incheon

Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Gangwon Logo

Gangwon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Incheon host Gangwon in the K League 1. This one's hard to separate. Gangwon have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Incheon have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.2. Head-to-head, Incheon have won 0 to Gangwon's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.81) point toward Gangwon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Incheon
20%
Draws
33%
Gangwon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gangwon lately — more wins on the board than Incheon.
  • Win probability leans Incheon's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Incheon Clean Sheet 20%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Gangwon
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
1:1
Sep 27, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
0:0
May 2, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
1:3
Jun 30, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 67 / 100
Gangwon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Gangwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Incheon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Incheon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gangwon let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Gangwon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
08 Nov
Daejeon
2 : 0
Incheon
01 Nov
Seoul
0 : 1
Incheon
24 Oct
Incheon
3 : 1
Jeju SK
18 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 1
Incheon
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
Page 1 of 6

Gangwon

(Away)
08 Nov
Gangwon
3 : 2
Jeonbuk
05 Nov
Kuching City FC
2 : 0
Gangwon
01 Nov
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Gangwon
29 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 0
Kuching City FC
24 Oct
Seoul
1 : 1
Gangwon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 35 20 7 8 62:32 67
2 Ulsan Hyundai 35 17 6 12 56:49 57
3 Daejeon 35 14 11 10 55:41 53
4 Gangwon 35 12 15 8 44:34 51
5 Jeonbuk 35 12 13 10 45:36 49
6 Incheon 35 13 10 12 44:37 49
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)