Sport Picks
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Korea
K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon 
Match Events
16'
16'
Park T.
38'
38'
Lee Ju-Yong
40'
40'
Lee K.
AI Match Summary
The K League 1 game between Incheon and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Incheon come out ahead of Gimcheon Sangmu on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Incheon | Gimcheon Sangmu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
May 9, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon
2:0
Jul 5, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Incheon Compare
Top Goalscorer Mugosa S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Gimcheon Sangmu Compare
Top Goalscorer Park Se-Jin
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Incheon 41 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Incheon Gimcheon Sangmu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Incheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Incheon scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Gimcheon Sangmu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Incheon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Incheon VS Gimcheon Sangmu
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Incheon
(Home) 18 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 1 Incheon
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0 Pohang
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0 Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1 Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1 Incheon
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0 Pohang
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1 Daejeon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1 Bucheon FC 1995
30 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1 Jeonbuk
16 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 3
Gimcheon Sangmu
(Away) 18 Oct
Seoul
2 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
10 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 1 Anyang
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Seoul
2 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
22 Aug
Jeju SK
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seoul | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60:28 | 66 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 50:45 | 50 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 42:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 39:29 | 47 |
| 5 | Daejeon | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 51:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Jeju SK | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 38:34 | 46 |
| 7 | Incheon | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 40:34 | 43 |
| 8 | Anyang | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 39:47 | 42 |
| 9 | Pohang | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 28:37 | 41 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 32 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 32:39 | 34 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 32 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 27:69 | 18 |
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)
