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Incheon vs Jeonbuk

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gerso
59'
Sub
Lee Dong-Ryul In: Park Seung-Ho
Out: Lee Dong-Ryul
61'
Park Ji-Su

AI Match Summary

Incheon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Incheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Incheon
35%
Draws
30%
Jeonbuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jeonbuk lately — more wins on the board than Incheon.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Incheon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Incheon Clean Sheet 20%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Jeonbuk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jeonbuk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 42 / 100
Jeonbuk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Jeonbuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Incheon scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Incheon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Jeonbuk conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Jeonbuk
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
30 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
26 Aug
Anyang
2 : 1
Incheon
23 Aug
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Incheon
16 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
02 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 3
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

Jeonbuk

(Away)
30 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
25 Aug
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 0
Jeonbuk
22 Aug
Jeonbuk
1 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
16 Aug
Bucheon FC 1995
3 : 2
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 26 17 5 4 52:21 56
2 Ulsan Hyundai 26 12 4 10 41:37 40
3 Jeonbuk 26 10 9 7 32:23 39
4 Jeju SK 26 10 8 8 31:27 38
5 Gangwon 25 9 10 6 30:24 37
6 Pohang 26 10 5 11 24:29 35
7 Anyang 26 8 10 8 33:39 34
8 Incheon 25 9 7 9 32:28 34
9 Daejeon 26 8 8 10 35:32 32
10 Bucheon FC 1995 26 7 10 9 28:29 31
11 Gimcheon Sangmu 26 4 15 7 24:32 27
12 Gwangju FC 26 1 9 16 16:57 12
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)