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Incheon vs Jeonbuk

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Incheon host Jeonbuk in the K League 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Incheon at 1.5 goals for, 0.63 against; Jeonbuk at 1.63 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Incheon slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.13) back Jeonbuk to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Incheon
33%
Draws
27%
Jeonbuk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jeonbuk lately — more wins on the board than Incheon.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Incheon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Jeonbuk
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
0:1
Jun 16, 2024 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
2:2
May 1, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 50 / 100
Jeonbuk 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Jeonbuk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Incheon scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Jeonbuk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Incheon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Jeonbuk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418