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Incheon vs Jeonbuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Kim Young-Bin
4'
Kim Myung-soon
24'
Lee Myoung-Joo

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Incheon and Jeonbuk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Incheon
35%
Draws
35%
Jeonbuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Incheon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Incheon a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Jeonbuk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Incheon
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeonbuk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Seung-Woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 68 / 100
Jeonbuk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Jeonbuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Incheon scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Jeonbuk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Incheon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Jeonbuk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
18 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 1
Incheon
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

Jeonbuk

(Away)
18 Oct
Jeonbuk
3 : 2
Jeju SK
14 Oct
Vissel Kobe
2 : 0
Jeonbuk
09 Oct
Daejeon
2 : 1
Jeonbuk
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 32 20 6 6 60:28 66
2 Ulsan Hyundai 32 15 5 12 50:45 50
3 Jeonbuk 32 12 11 9 42:32 47
4 Gangwon 32 11 14 7 39:29 47
5 Daejeon 32 12 10 10 51:40 46
6 Jeju SK 32 12 10 10 38:34 46
7 Incheon 32 11 10 11 40:34 43
8 Anyang 32 10 12 10 39:47 42
9 Pohang 32 11 8 13 28:37 41
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 32 5 19 8 32:39 34
11 Bucheon FC 1995 32 7 11 14 32:44 32
12 Gwangju FC 32 2 12 18 27:69 18
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)