Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Incheon vs Pohang

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Sungui Arena Park, Incheon
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Incheon host Pohang in the K League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Incheon at 1.21 goals for, 1.1 against; Pohang at 1 for, 1.19 against. Past meetings favor Pohang slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Pohang. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Incheon
35%
Draws
32%
Pohang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pohang come out ahead of Incheon on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Incheon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Incheon Clean Sheet 20%
Pohang Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Incheon Pohang
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Pohang
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Incheon
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 K League 1
Pohang vs Incheon
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Pohang
1:3
Apr 28, 2024 K League 1
Pohang vs Incheon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Incheon 40 / 100
Pohang 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Incheon Pohang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Incheon's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pohang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Incheon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Incheon VS Pohang
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Incheon

(Home)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
30 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

Pohang

(Away)
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
05 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 0
Pohang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 29 10 12 7 36:28 42
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
9 Incheon 29 10 8 11 36:33 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)