Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Klinger K. In: Medina J.
Out: Klinger K.
61'
Sub
Moya J. In: Pajaro R.
Out: Moya J.
61'
Sub
Dinenno J. In: Benedetti N.
Out: Dinenno J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Ind. Medellin and Dep. Cali finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ind. Medellin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ind. Medellin
30%
Draws
18%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ind. Medellin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cali haven't matched Ind. Medellin's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ind. Medellin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin Dep. Cali
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Ind. Medellin
3:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Ind. Medellin
1:3
Mar 16, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Cali
0:0
Aug 5, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Ind. Medellin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dep. Cali Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 95 / 100
Dep. Cali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ind. Medellin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ind. Medellin scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Dep. Cali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Ind. Medellin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Dep. Cali
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
04 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 3
Ind. Medellin
30 Aug
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Llaneros
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Cucuta
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Dep. Cali

(Away)
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Cali
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1
Bucaramanga
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1
Dep. Cali
23 Aug
Dep. Cali
2 : 2
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 8 6 2 0 20:4 20
2 Deportes Tolima 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
3 Ind. Medellin 7 5 0 2 13:8 15
4 Santa Fe 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
5 Millonarios 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
6 Atl. Nacional 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
7 Inter Bogotá 9 2 5 2 11:12 11
8 Llaneros 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
9 Aguilas Doradas 6 2 4 0 10:8 10
10 Bucaramanga 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
11 Once Caldas 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
12 Dep. Cali 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
13 Cucuta 8 2 3 3 8:13 9
14 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
15 Chico 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
17 Dep. Pereira 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
18 Junior 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
19 Dep. Pasto 8 0 2 6 7:15 2
20 Alianza 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)