Sport Picks
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín 
Match Events
4'
4'
Mena J.
Assist: Palacios H.
7'
7'
Garavito M.
30'
30'
Cordoba S.
Assist: Goyes H.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Ind. Medellin and Dep. Pasto finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ind. Medellin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Pasto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Ind. Medellin carry the better recent record into this one.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ind. Medellin | Dep. Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:4
Aug 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto
0:0
Jul 25, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Dep. Pasto
3:2
Jan 18, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Ind. Medellin
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ind. Medellin Compare
Top Goalscorer Mena J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Palacios H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Dep. Pasto Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordoba S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Micolta Piedahita J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ind. Medellin 41 / 100
Dep. Pasto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ind. Medellin Dep. Pasto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ind. Medellin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ind. Medellin found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).
Dep. Pasto has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Ind. Medellin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ind. Medellin VS Dep. Pasto
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ind. Medellin
(Home) 06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Santa Fe
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2 Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Santa Fe
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2 Millonarios
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
30 Aug
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1 Llaneros
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Cucuta
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Pasto
(Away) 04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2 Dep. Pasto
28 Aug
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1 Dep. Pasto
05 Aug
Millonarios
2 : 0 Dep. Pasto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
