Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Flamengo RJ

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ind. Medellin have averaged 1 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Flamengo RJ's 1.5 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Ind. Medellin have won 0 to Flamengo RJ's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.13, favoring Flamengo RJ. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ind. Medellin

39%

Draws

30%

Flamengo RJ

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Flamengo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 21%

Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ind. Medellin	Flamengo RJ
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	20
Draws	8	5
Losses	7	3
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Ind. Medellin vs Flamengo RJ

0:3

Apr 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Flamengo RJ vs Ind. Medellin

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 32 / 100

Flamengo RJ 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ind. Medellin Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ind. Medellin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Flamengo RJ conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Flamengo RJ

1 Goals Scored 1.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)

02 Jun

Ind. Medellin

2 : 1

Cucuta

29 May

Leones

1 : 1

Ind. Medellin

27 May

Estudiantes L.P.

1 : 0

Ind. Medellin

21 May

Cusco

2 : 3

Ind. Medellin

16 May

Orsomarso

1 : 1

Ind. Medellin

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Flamengo RJ

(Away)

17 Jul

Flamengo RJ

4 : 2

Olimpia Asuncion

11 Jul

Benfica

1 : 2

Flamengo RJ

08 Jul

Flamengo RJ

2 : 0

Lausanne

03 Jul

Flamengo RJ

2 : 2

River Plate

30 May

Flamengo RJ

3 : 0

Coritiba

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