Sport Picks

Ind. Medellin vs Flamengo RJ Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Flamengo RJ

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ind. Medellin have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Flamengo RJ's 2.18 scored and 0.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Ind. Medellin have won 0 to Flamengo RJ's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Flamengo RJ. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Ind. Medellin

30%

Draws

51%

Flamengo RJ

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Flamengo RJ a 51% chance of winning this.
Flamengo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 17%

Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ind. Medellin	Flamengo RJ
Matches Played	28	33
Wins	14	22
Draws	5	8
Losses	9	3
Goals Scored	1.5	2.18
Goals Conceded	1.32	0.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Ind. Medellin vs Flamengo RJ

0:3

Apr 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Flamengo RJ vs Ind. Medellin

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 20 / 100

Flamengo RJ 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ind. Medellin Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ind. Medellin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Flamengo RJ conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Flamengo RJ

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)

30 Sept

Ind. Medellin

2 : 2

Millonarios

27 Sept

Junior

2 : 0

Ind. Medellin

22 Sept

Ind. Medellin

2 : 1

Jaguares de Cordoba

18 Sept

Bucaramanga

2 : 2

Ind. Medellin

12 Sept

Chico

2 : 1

Ind. Medellin

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Flamengo RJ

(Away)

20 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 1

Bragantino

18 Sept

Flamengo RJ

1 : 1

Independiente del Valle

13 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 1

Corinthians

11 Sept

Independiente del Valle

0 : 2

Flamengo RJ

06 Sept

Remo

0 : 1

Flamengo RJ

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