Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ind. Medellin vs Llaneros

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Gonzalez Y.
17' Event
Medina J.
Assist: Fabra F.
21' Event
Montano J.
Assist: Quintero J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Ind. Medellin and Llaneros finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ind. Medellin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Ind. Medellin
15%
Draws
32%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ind. Medellin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ind. Medellin are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ind. Medellin have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 68%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin Llaneros
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Llaneros
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Ind. Medellin
2:2
Aug 11, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Ind. Medellin
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Llaneros
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Meza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin 50 / 100
Llaneros 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ind. Medellin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Llaneros let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Ind. Medellin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin VS Llaneros
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin

(Home)
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
04 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 3
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

Llaneros

(Away)
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
30 Aug
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Millonarios 12 5 5 2 16:9 20
3 Atl. Nacional 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
4 Ind. Medellin 9 6 1 2 17:11 19
5 Dep. Cali 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Bucaramanga 9 4 5 0 14:8 17
7 Deportes Tolima 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
8 Santa Fe 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
9 Llaneros 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
10 Once Caldas 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
11 Aguilas Doradas 9 2 5 2 12:13 11
12 Inter Bogotá 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
13 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
14 Cucuta 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 10 1 5 4 11:16 8
16 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
17 Alianza 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
18 Dep. Pereira 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Jaguares de Cordoba 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
20 Junior 8 1 3 4 12:14 6
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)