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Ind. Medellin W vs America de Cali W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
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Match Events

13' Event
Mendoza O.
Assist: Munoz M.
19'
Gonzalez A.
41' Event
Florez G.
Assist: Chanchi I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Ind. Medellin W and America de Cali W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Cali W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ind. Medellin W
15%
Draws
65%
America de Cali W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin W haven't matched America de Cali W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans America de Cali W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • America de Cali W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 11%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin W America de Cali W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs America de Cali W
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs America de Cali W
2:3
Mar 19, 2023 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W
2:0
Apr 17, 2022 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Florez G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendoza O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin W 10 / 100
America de Cali W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin W America de Cali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Cali W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ind. Medellin W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: America de Cali W conceded in 57% of 35 recent games.

Ind. Medellin W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin W VS America de Cali W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ind. Medellin W

(Home)
20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3
America de Cali W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1
Ind. Medellin W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0
Orsomarso W
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America de Cali W

(Away)
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
05 Sept
America de Cali W
0 : 1
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
1 : 1
America de Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)