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Ind. Medellin W vs Dep. Cali W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Salazar A.
Assist: Ibarguen K.
33'
Perlaza S.
46'
Sub
Macias P. In: Hurtado M.
Out: Macias P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between Ind. Medellin W and Dep. Cali W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ind. Medellin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ind. Medellin W
6%
Draws
90%
Dep. Cali W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cali W come out ahead of Ind. Medellin W on wins alone.
  • Dep. Cali W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 13%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Medellin W Dep. Cali W
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 13 27
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W
3:1
Aug 20, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Dep. Cali W
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Dep. Cali W
2:1
Jun 6, 2024 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Medellin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Medellin W 10 / 100
Dep. Cali W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Medellin W Dep. Cali W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ind. Medellin W scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dep. Cali W let in goals in 44% of their last 41 matches.

Recent resilience: Ind. Medellin W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ind. Medellin W VS Dep. Cali W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali W16122235:738
2Indep. Santa Fe W16112332:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1678122:1029
4Ind. Medellin W1692524:1429
5Inter Palmira W1683519:1827
6America de Cali W1675419:1326
7Orsomarso W1674523:1425
8Millonarios W1666425:2024
9Inter Bogotá W1666414:924
10Dep. Pasto W1665521:1723
11Junior W1635821:3714
12Real Santander W162779:1813
13Once Caldas W1626812:2312
14Alianza W16311215:3710
15Fortaleza W16241012:3710
16Bucaramanga W161695:229