Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ind. Yumbo play Union Magdalena in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ind. Yumbo averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Union Magdalena averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Ind. Yumbo won 0, Union Magdalena won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Ind. Yumbo and 1.75 for Union Magdalena. This points to a Union Magdalena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ind. Yumbo
31%
Draws
46%
Union Magdalena
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Ind. Yumbo picked up more points recently compared to Union Magdalena.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Ind. Yumbo Clean Sheet 12%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ind. Yumbo Union Magdalena
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Primera B
Ind. Yumbo vs Union Magdalena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ind. Yumbo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Union Magdalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Congo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ind. Yumbo 23 / 100
Union Magdalena 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ind. Yumbo Union Magdalena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Magdalena or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ind. Yumbo attacking → ← attacking Union Magdalena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Yumbo scored in 58% of their last 19 games.

Union Magdalena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ind. Yumbo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 52
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237