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Indeni vs Red Arrows

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Banda R.
55' Event
Chilimina B.
72' Event
Bwalya T.

AI Match Summary

Red Arrows in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Indeni
20%
Draws
58%
Red Arrows
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Arrows have won more games recently than Indeni.
  • Model gives Red Arrows a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Indeni Clean Sheet 17%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indeni Red Arrows
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 3 23
Draws 5 11
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.51
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Indeni
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super League
Indeni vs Red Arrows
1:2
May 8, 2022 Super League
Indeni vs Red Arrows
1:3
Jan 5, 2022 Super League
Red Arrows vs Indeni
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Super League
Indeni vs Red Arrows
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indeni Compare

Top Goalscorer Bwalya T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Red Arrows Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chilimina B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indeni 15 / 100
Red Arrows 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indeni Red Arrows

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Indeni scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Red Arrows has conceded goals in 41% of their last 41 outings.

Indeni went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Red Arrows
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Indeni

(Home)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Indeni
09 Apr
Indeni
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Indeni
Page 1 of 6

Red Arrows

(Away)
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Red Arrows
0 : 1
Power Dynamos
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
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