Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ibarguen K.
21'
Sanchez L.
38'
Sub
Mosquera H. In: Silva M.
Out: Mosquera H.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between Indep. Santa Fe W and Dep. Cali W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indep. Santa Fe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Indep. Santa Fe W
6%
Draws
90%
Dep. Cali W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Cali W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dep. Cali W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Dep. Cali W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Valbuena K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. Cali W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 10 / 100
Dep. Cali W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Dep. Cali W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Cali W let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Dep. Cali W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Orsomarso W0
Indep. Santa Fe W1
Atl. Nacional W2
Dep. Cali W3
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W1
Dep. Cali W2