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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bermeo J.
Assist: Viancha K.
18' Event
Guerra I.
Assist: Viancha K.
24'
Hernandez K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Indep. Santa Fe W
15%
Draws
54%
Dep. Cali W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W haven't matched Dep. Cali W's recent run of results.
  • Dep. Cali W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Dep. Cali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Cali W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 16%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Dep. Cali W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 22
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
4:2
Sep 24, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
2:3
Sep 9, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
0:0
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
3:0
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermeo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 15 / 100
Dep. Cali W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Dep. Cali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Indep. Santa Fe W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dep. Cali W let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Dep. Cali W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7

Dep. Cali W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millonarios W 3
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 6
Atl. Nacional W 1
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 7