Sport Picks

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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Pasto W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W play Dep. Pasto W in the Liga Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indep. Santa Fe W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Dep. Pasto W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Indep. Santa Fe W won 3, Dep. Pasto W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Indep. Santa Fe W and 0.63 for Dep. Pasto W. This points to a Indep. Santa Fe W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Indep. Santa Fe W
24%
Draws
25%
Dep. Pasto W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W picked up more points recently compared to Dep. Pasto W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 29%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Dep. Pasto W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:0
Jun 16, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:0
Mar 31, 2023 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Pasto W
5:0
Apr 24, 2018 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Pasto W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viancha K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulgarin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 52 / 100
Dep. Pasto W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Dep. Pasto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Indep. Santa Fe W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indep. Santa Fe W attacking → ← attacking Dep. Pasto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Dep. Pasto W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Indep. Santa Fe W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Pasto W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 27
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali W16122235:738
2Indep. Santa Fe W16112332:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1678122:1029
4Ind. Medellin W1692524:1429
5Inter Palmira W1683519:1827
6America de Cali W1675419:1326
7Orsomarso W1674523:1425
8Millonarios W1666425:2024
9Inter Bogotá W1666414:924
10Dep. Pasto W1665521:1723
11Junior W1635821:3714
12Real Santander W162779:1813
13Once Caldas W1626812:2312
14Alianza W16311215:3710
15Fortaleza W16241012:3710
16Bucaramanga W161695:229