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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Deportes Tolima W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W play Deportes Tolima W in the Liga Women 2023. Indep. Santa Fe W are favorites here. Recently, Indep. Santa Fe W averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Deportes Tolima W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Indep. Santa Fe W won 2, Deportes Tolima W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2023 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Indep. Santa Fe W and 0.75 for Deportes Tolima W. This points to a Indep. Santa Fe W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Indep. Santa Fe W
23%
Draws
16%
Deportes Tolima W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W picked up more points recently compared to Deportes Tolima W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 27%
Deportes Tolima W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Deportes Tolima W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.53 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2023 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Deportes Tolima W
5:0
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Deportes Tolima W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportes Tolima W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 60 / 100
Deportes Tolima W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Deportes Tolima W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indep. Santa Fe W attacking → ← attacking Deportes Tolima W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Deportes Tolima W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Indep. Santa Fe W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Deportes Tolima W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 19
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America de Cali W16131243:840
2Indep. Santa Fe W16105133:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1686228:930
4Deportivo Pereira W1685328:2029
5Dep. Cali W1676324:1827
6Ind. Medellin W1683525:2027
7Inter Palmira W1674520:1325
8Inter Bogotá W1672728:2023
9Llaneros W1671821:2322
10Millonarios W1664623:2122
11Junior W1656517:1221
12Chico W1648413:1520
13Huila W1655615:2120
14Real Santander W1634913:2913
15Dep. Pasto W16331011:3412
16Bucaramanga W1613129:416
17Deportes Tolima W16021411:462