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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Millonarios W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Indep. Santa Fe W Logo

Indep. Santa Fe W

2 - 2
FT
Millonarios W Logo

Millonarios W

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hernandez K.
Assist: Zamorano M.
17' Event
Restrepo K.
Assist: Leal M.
21' Event
Gomez L.
Assist: Benavides M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Indep. Santa Fe W
35%
Draws
30%
Millonarios W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Millonarios W haven't matched Indep. Santa Fe W's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Indep. Santa Fe W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 16%
Millonarios W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Millonarios W
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.71 1.74
Goals Conceded 1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Sep 18, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Millonarios W
2:2
Aug 4, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Millonarios W
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Restrepo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 36 / 100
Millonarios W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Millonarios W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Indep. Santa Fe W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Millonarios W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Millonarios W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7

Millonarios W

(Away)
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
13 Sept
Inter Bogotá W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
03 Sept
Inter Palmira W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millonarios W 3
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 6
Atl. Nacional W 1
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 7