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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Real Santander W Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Acosta A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
de la Cruz I. In: Orozco N.
Out: de la Cruz I.
55'
Sub
Posada S. In: Cardona B.
Out: Posada S.

AI Match Summary

Real Santander W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Santander W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Indep. Santa Fe W
30%
Draws
29%
Real Santander W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indep. Santa Fe W lately — more wins on the board than Real Santander W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 68%
Real Santander W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Real Santander W
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.7 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Real Santander W
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:2
Mar 30, 2022 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 41 / 100
Real Santander W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Real Santander W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (37 games).

Real Santander W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Indep. Santa Fe W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Real Santander W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 20%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
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Real Santander W

(Away)
09 Aug
Inter Bogotá W
2 : 0
Real Santander W
01 Aug
Real Santander W
0 : 1
Orsomarso W
26 Jul
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 1
Real Santander W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
23 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0
Real Santander W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)