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Indep. Santa Fe W vs Real Santander W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W host Real Santander W in the Liga Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Indep. Santa Fe W have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Real Santander W's 0.25 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Indep. Santa Fe W have won 2 to Real Santander W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.63 - 0.38) back Indep. Santa Fe W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Indep. Santa Fe W
6%
Draws
4%
Real Santander W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indep. Santa Fe W lately — more wins on the board than Real Santander W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Indep. Santa Fe W taking it.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%
Real Santander W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indep. Santa Fe W Real Santander W
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 19 2
Draws 8 14
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:2
Mar 30, 2022 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indep. Santa Fe W 85 / 100
Real Santander W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indep. Santa Fe W Real Santander W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Indep. Santa Fe W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Indep. Santa Fe W scored in 68% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Real Santander W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Indep. Santa Fe W VS Real Santander W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Home)
28 May
Llaneros W
1 : 4
Indep. Santa Fe W
23 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
11 May
Junior W
1 : 1
Indep. Santa Fe W
03 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
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Real Santander W

(Away)
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
23 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0
Real Santander W
16 May
Real Santander W
1 : 1
Junior W
09 May
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Real Santander W
02 May
Bucaramanga W
2 : 0
Real Santander W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)