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Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20

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Acreano U20
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AI Match Summary

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 play Sao Francisco U20 in the Acreano U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Independencia Futebol Clube U20 averaged 2.24 goals scored and 3.48 conceded. Sao Francisco U20 averaged 2.21 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. In past meetings, Independencia Futebol Clube U20 won 2, Sao Francisco U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 9, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Independencia Futebol Clube U20 and 2.69 for Sao Francisco U20. This points to a Independencia Futebol Clube U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
15%
Draws
41%
Sao Francisco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Independencia Futebol Clube U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sao Francisco U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Sao Francisco U20
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.24 2.21
Goals Conceded 3.48 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
4:1
Jul 4, 2026 Acreano U20
Sao Francisco U20 vs Independencia Futebol Clube U20
3:3
Jun 27, 2026 Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
1:0
May 2, 2025 Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 42 / 100
Sao Francisco U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Sao Francisco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Independencia Futebol Clube U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 attacking → ← attacking Sao Francisco U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Sao Francisco U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Francisco U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 26
4.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santa Cruz AC U20871053:222
2Independencia Futebol Clube U20861132:519
3Sao Francisco U20851231:616
4Galvez U20850325:2015
5Assermurb U20834116:1113
6Andira U20822418:178
7Vasco da Gama AC U20811611:604
8Placido de Castro U2070169:401
9Nauas EC U2070166:401