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Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Santa Cruz AC U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Acreano U20
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
30%
Draws
19%
Santa Cruz AC U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz AC U20 lately — more wins on the board than Independencia Futebol Clube U20.
  • Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Santa Cruz AC U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz AC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Santa Cruz AC U20
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 9 26
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 2.15 3.94
Goals Conceded 3.26 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Acreano U20
Santa Cruz AC U20 vs Independencia Futebol Clube U20
1:2
Jul 14, 2026 Acreano U20
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 vs Santa Cruz AC U20
0:0
Apr 30, 2026 Acreano U20
Santa Cruz AC U20 vs Independencia Futebol Clube U20
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Acreano U20
Santa Cruz AC U20 vs Independencia Futebol Clube U20
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 74 / 100
Santa Cruz AC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Santa Cruz AC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independencia Futebol Clube U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Independencia Futebol Clube U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Away concern: Santa Cruz AC U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube U20 VS Santa Cruz AC U20
4.88 Goals Scored 5.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Santa Cruz AC U20
1 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
14 Jul
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
0 : 0
Santa Cruz AC U20
09 Jul
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
4 : 1
Sao Francisco U20
04 Jul
Sao Francisco U20
3 : 3
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
27 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
1 : 0
Sao Francisco U20
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz AC U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Amazonas U20
4 : 1
Santa Cruz AC U20
10 Sept
Galvez U20
0 : 5
Santa Cruz AC U20
18 Jul
Santa Cruz AC U20
1 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
14 Jul
Independencia Futebol Clube U20
0 : 0
Santa Cruz AC U20
09 Jul
Santa Cruz AC U20
0 : 1
Galvez U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Santa Cruz AC U20 3
Galvez U20 2
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 7
Sao Francisco U20 4
Final
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Independencia Futebol Clube U20 2