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Independencia Futebol Clube vs Santa Cruz AC

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Acreano
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AI Match Summary

Independencia Futebol Clube play Santa Cruz AC in the Acreano. It looks like a close match. Recently, Independencia Futebol Clube averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Santa Cruz AC averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Independencia Futebol Clube won 0, Santa Cruz AC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 15, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Independencia Futebol Clube and 0.96 for Santa Cruz AC. This points to a Santa Cruz AC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Independencia Futebol Clube
28%
Draws
50%
Santa Cruz AC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santa Cruz AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Independencia Futebol Clube has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Cruz AC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Santa Cruz AC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Acreano provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz AC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube Santa Cruz AC
Matches Played 40 19
Wins 15 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 0.75 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Santa Cruz AC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Bravo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves de Macedo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Santa Cruz AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquinhos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alex
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 24 / 100
Santa Cruz AC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube Santa Cruz AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 75% of their last 40 games.

Santa Cruz AC let in goals in 42% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Independencia Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz AC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS Santa Cruz AC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1