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Independente AP vs Sao Paulo AP Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2017
Independente AP Logo

Independente AP

1 - 1
FT
Sao Paulo AP Logo

Sao Paulo AP

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Amapaense 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Independente AP
30%
Draws
42%
Sao Paulo AP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Independente AP have won more games recently than Sao Paulo AP.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Independente AP Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente AP Sao Paulo AP
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Sao Paulo AP
4:1
May 25, 2023 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Sao Paulo AP
3:0
May 10, 2022 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Sao Paulo AP
3:0
Aug 28, 2021 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Independente AP
3:1
Jun 24, 2017 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Sao Paulo AP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente AP 32 / 100
Sao Paulo AP 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente AP Sao Paulo AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente AP scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Sao Paulo AP let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Independente AP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente AP VS Sao Paulo AP
1.63 Goals Scored 1.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente AP

(Home)
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
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Sao Paulo AP

(Away)
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
12 Jun
Sao Paulo AP
4 : 0
Lagoa
03 Jun
Cruzeiro AP
2 : 1
Sao Paulo AP
26 May
Sao Paulo AP
2 : 1
Latitude Zero
21 May
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Sao Paulo AP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos AP 5 3 0 2 8:3 9
2 Independente AP 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
3 Macapa 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Ypiranga AP 5 1 3 1 2:5 6
5 Trem 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
6 Sao Paulo AP 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2017 (Play Offs)