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Independente AP vs Trem

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Independente AP Logo

Independente AP

0 - 2
FT
Trem Logo

Trem

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Sergipano N.
54' Event
Wendel
78'
Foguete
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2025 game between Independente AP and Trem finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Independente AP
30%
Draws
35%
Trem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Independente AP haven't matched Trem's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independente AP a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amapaense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Independente AP Clean Sheet 10%
Trem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente AP Trem
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Amapaense
Trem vs Independente AP
1:1
Apr 8, 2025 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Trem
0:2
Mar 11, 2024 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Trem
1:0
Aug 3, 2023 Amapaense
Independente AP vs Trem
3:3
Jul 27, 2023 Amapaense
Trem vs Independente AP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independente AP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Trem Compare

Top Goalscorer Sergipano N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente AP 47 / 100
Trem 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente AP Trem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente AP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independente AP scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Trem conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Independente AP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente AP VS Trem
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente AP

(Home)
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
Page 1 of 6

Trem

(Away)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
Promotion - Amapaense 2025 (Play Offs)