Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independente RJ vs Campos AA

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Venancio K. R.
28' Event
Batista K.
49' Event
Venancio K. R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Independente RJ
39%
Draws
31%
Campos AA
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Independente RJ haven't matched Campos AA's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Independente RJ Clean Sheet 17%
Campos AA Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente RJ Campos AA
Matches Played 9 33
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Carioca C
Independente RJ vs Campos AA
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independente RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Venancio K. R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Campos AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente RJ 30 / 100
Campos AA 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente RJ Campos AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Campos AA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Independente RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Campos AA's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Independente RJ VS Campos AA
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente RJ

(Home)
12 Jul
Ceres
:
Independente RJ
06 Jul
Independente RJ
:
Ceres
28 Jun
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 0
Independente RJ
07 Jun
Independente RJ
1 : 0
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
31 May
Itaborai Profute
1 : 1
Independente RJ
Page 1 of 2

Campos AA

(Away)
23 Jul
Campos AA
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
19 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
4 : 1
Campos AA
12 Jul
Tigres Brasil
0 : 0
Campos AA
06 Jul
Campos AA
3 : 2
Tigres Brasil
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardoso Moreira871015:222
2Tigres Brasil852115:617
3Campos AA852115:717
4Grande Rio Brescia Clube73138:610
5Mageense62136:137
6Barcelona EC82065:216
7Itaborai Profute61329:96
8EC Vera Cruz81079:213
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra Mansa74129:513
2Rio Barra841313:1013
3Buzios733115:612
4Uni Souza831415:1110
5Uniao Central831411:1510
6Ceres630310:119
7Caac Brazil82158:167
8Independente RJ71244:85
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)