Sport Picks
Independente SE vs Amadense Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Sergipano 2 2024 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independente SE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Amadense lately — more wins on the board than Independente SE.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 18%
Amadense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independente SE | Amadense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.95 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2024 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs Amadense
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Sergipano 2
Amadense vs Independente SE
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independente SE 36 / 100
Amadense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independente SE Amadense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Amadense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Amadense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Independente SE went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Amadense lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independente SE VS Amadense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
2 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Independente SE
(Home) 01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2 Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1 America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0 Independente SE
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3 Frei Paulistano
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1 Independente SE
Page 1 of 5
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2 Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1 America de Pedrinhas
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3 Frei Paulistano
04 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 2 Desportiva Aracaju
13 Sept
Independente SE
0 : 2 Olimpico EC
Page 1 of 3
Amadense
(Away) 12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1 Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1 CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0 Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0 Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1 AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1 Amadense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0 Amadense
14 Sept
Sete de Junho
4 : 0 Amadense
02 Oct
Independente SE
2 : 2 Amadense
22 Sept
America de Pedrinhas
4 : 1 Amadense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
