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Independente SE vs Frei Paulistano

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Independente SE and Frei Paulistano finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Independente SE
6%
Draws
90%
Frei Paulistano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Frei Paulistano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Frei Paulistano come out ahead of Independente SE on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Frei Paulistano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 10%
Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente SE Frei Paulistano
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.38 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs Frei Paulistano
0:3
Oct 23, 2024 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs Frei Paulistano
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SE 10 / 100
Frei Paulistano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente SE Frei Paulistano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frei Paulistano let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Independente SE has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Independente SE's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Independente SE VS Frei Paulistano
0.38 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE541014:213
2America de Pedrinhas541013:413
3Desportiva Aracaju540116:512
4Frei Paulistano52218:68
5Flamengo SE50143:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra SE52217:68
2Atletico Central51135:74
3Independente SE51136:94
4Boca Junior51137:124
5Caninde51048:203