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Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independente SP in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independente SP
6%
Draws
4%
FC Primeira Camisa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Independente SP have won more games recently than FC Primeira Camisa.
  • Independente SP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%
FC Primeira Camisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente SP FC Primeira Camisa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2011 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa
4:0
Oct 2, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP
2:0
Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP
2:2
Aug 9, 2011 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SP 85 / 100
FC Primeira Camisa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente SP FC Primeira Camisa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Independente SP remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Independente SP found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

FC Primeira Camisa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Independente SP VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capivariano632112:611
2Barretos EC631214:1110
3Portuguesa Santista62227:68
4Olimpia FC60334:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP631212:710
2Guacuano631210:610
3Votuporanguense62139:137
4FC Primeira Camisa62133:87