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Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Independente SP Logo

Independente SP

4 - 0
FT
FC Primeira Camisa Logo

FC Primeira Camisa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independente SP in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Independente SP
15%
Draws
26%
FC Primeira Camisa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Independente SP have won more games recently than FC Primeira Camisa.
  • Independente SP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%
FC Primeira Camisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente SP FC Primeira Camisa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2011 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa
4:0
Oct 2, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP
2:0
Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Independente SP
2:2
Aug 9, 2011 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs FC Primeira Camisa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SP 85 / 100
FC Primeira Camisa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente SP FC Primeira Camisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente SP found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: FC Primeira Camisa conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Independente SP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente SP VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente SP

(Home)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1
Paulinense
Page 1 of 7

FC Primeira Camisa

(Away)
23 Oct
Independente SP
4 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
19 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
1 : 0
Guacuano
16 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
0 : 1
Votuporanguense
09 Oct
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
05 Oct
Guacuano
3 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
2 Barretos EC 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
3 Portuguesa Santista 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Olimpia FC 6 0 3 3 4:14 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
2 Guacuano 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Votuporanguense 6 2 1 3 9:13 7
4 FC Primeira Camisa 6 2 1 3 3:8 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Play Offs)