Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Sao Judas Tadeu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independente SP play Sao Judas Tadeu in the Paulista A4 2011. Independente SP are favorites here. Recently, Independente SP averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Sao Judas Tadeu averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Independente SP won 1, Sao Judas Tadeu won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 17, 2011 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Independente SP and 1.06 for Sao Judas Tadeu. This points to a Independente SP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%

Independente SP

15%

Draws

12%

Sao Judas Tadeu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Independente SP picked up more points recently compared to Sao Judas Tadeu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Independente SP Clean Sheet 22%

Sao Judas Tadeu Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independente SP	Sao Judas Tadeu
Matches Played	30	10
Wins	17	1
Draws	4	1
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	2.27	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2011 Paulista A4

Sao Judas Tadeu vs Independente SP

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

May 27, 2011 Paulista A4

Independente SP vs Sao Judas Tadeu

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SP 70 / 100

Sao Judas Tadeu 13 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independente SP Sao Judas Tadeu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente SP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Independente SP & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.4%

1.54

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Independente SP attacking → ← attacking Sao Judas Tadeu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente SP scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sao Judas Tadeu let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Independente SP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Judas Tadeu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 4

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Votuporanguense	12	5	5	2	17:14	20
2	Bandeirante	12	5	5	2	18:11	20
3	Fernandopolis	12	5	4	3	14:7	19
4	Tupa	12	4	5	3	12:13	17
5	Jose Bonifacio EC	12	3	5	4	13:12	14
6	Tanabi	12	2	5	5	8:13	11
7	Assisense	12	3	1	8	9:21	10

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barretos EC	12	7	5	0	25:12	26
2	Guariba	12	6	4	2	23:11	22
3	Ole Brasil	12	7	0	5	20:17	21
4	Olimpia FC	12	5	3	4	19:12	18
5	Jaboticabal Atletico	12	5	3	4	26:22	18
6	Americo EC	12	2	1	9	21:31	7
7	Matonense	12	1	2	9	7:36	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente SP	10	8	2	0	17:3	26
2	Palmeirinha SP	10	5	4	1	17:6	19
3	Guacuano	10	5	3	2	11:7	18
4	Brasilis	10	4	2	4	16:12	14
5	Sao Judas Tadeu	10	1	1	8	9:18	4
6	Lencoense	10	1	0	9	9:33	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desportivo	14	9	1	4	26:16	28
2	Sumare	14	7	4	3	18:13	25
3	Cotia	14	6	5	3	27:23	23
4	Capivariano	14	5	6	3	30:20	21
5	Primavera EC	14	5	5	4	17:15	20
6	SKA Brasil	14	5	3	6	18:18	18
7	Lemense	14	4	2	8	16:30	14
8	Elosport	14	1	2	11	12:29	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guarulhos	14	10	0	4	27:16	30
2	Jacarei (Inactive)	14	8	3	3	21:13	27
3	FC Primeira Camisa	14	6	6	2	25:13	24
4	ECUS SP	14	6	2	6	12:15	20
5	Uniao Suzano	14	5	4	5	21:18	19
6	Jacarei FC	14	5	3	6	14:18	18
7	Manthiqueira	14	2	4	8	10:22	10
8	Uniao Mogi	14	2	2	10	13:28	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa Santista	14	10	1	3	21:7	31
2	Sao Vicente	14	9	2	3	29:19	29
3	EC Sao Bernardo	14	8	2	4	26:14	26
4	Guaruja	14	7	2	5	19:16	23
5	Mauaense	14	6	4	4	27:17	22
6	Jabaquara	14	7	0	7	21:24	21
7	Nacional SP	14	1	2	11	16:32	5
8	Palestra	14	1	1	12	8:38	4