Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Independente SP

1 - 1

Sumare

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%

Independente SP

15%

Draws

Sumare

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Independente SP lately — more wins on the board than Sumare.
77% — that's where the model lands on Independente SP taking it.
Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%

Sumare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independente SP	Sumare
Matches Played	36	32
Wins	22	5
Draws	5	7
Losses	9	20
Goals Scored	2.28	0.94
Goals Conceded	0.94	2.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2011 Paulista A4

Independente SP vs Sumare

1:1

Aug 13, 2011 Paulista A4

Sumare vs Independente SP

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente SP 85 / 100

Sumare 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independente SP Sumare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente SP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sumare conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Independente SP's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Independente SP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independente SP VS -

2.13 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente SP

(Home)

16 Aug

Independente SP

4 : 1

America SP

09 Aug

America SP

2 : 0

Independente SP

02 Aug

Independente SP

2 : 0

Flamengo SP

25 Jul

Flamengo SP

1 : 0

Independente SP

19 Jul

Independente SP

2 : 1

Paulinense

Page 1 of 8

Sumare

(Away)

21 Sept

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Sumare

17 Sept

Sumare

1 : 5

Lemense

14 Sept

Sumare

1 : 1

Manthiqueira

07 Sept

Manthiqueira

2 : 1

Sumare

03 Sept

Lemense

3 : 1

Sumare

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