Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independente vs Izabelense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Independente and Izabelense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Independente
30%
Draws
39%
Izabelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izabelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independente come out ahead of Izabelense on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Independente taking it.
  • Regular Paraense A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Independente Clean Sheet 20%
Izabelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente Izabelense
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Paraense A2
Izabelense vs Independente
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Paraense A2
Independente vs Izabelense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente 40 / 100
Izabelense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente Izabelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Izabelense let in goals in 67% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Independente went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente VS Izabelense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente

(Home)
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2
Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
Page 1 of 6

Izabelense

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)