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Independente vs Uniao Paraense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paraense A2
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AI Match Summary

Independente in this Paraense A2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Independente
35%
Draws
13%
Uniao Paraense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independente lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Paraense.
  • Win probability leans Independente's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Independente Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independente Uniao Paraense
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 11 1
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.19 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paraense A2
Independente vs Uniao Paraense
3:0
May 9, 2026 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs Independente
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independente 85 / 100
Uniao Paraense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independente Uniao Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Uniao Paraense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Independente stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independente VS Uniao Paraense
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independente

(Home)
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2
Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
Page 1 of 7

Uniao Paraense

(Away)
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
23 May
Uniao Paraense
2 : 2
Izabelense
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
03 May
Izabelense
2 : 1
Uniao Paraense
12 Jul
Urumajo
1 : 0
Uniao Paraense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)