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Independiente 2 vs Lanus 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente 2 host Lanus 2 in the Reserve League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Lanus 2 have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Independiente 2 have conceded 0.9 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor Independiente 2 slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.75, favoring Independiente 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Independiente 2
30%
Draws
38%
Lanus 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Lanus 2 haven't matched Independiente 2's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Independiente 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente 2 Lanus 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.1 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Independiente 2
0:4
Oct 2, 2025 Reserve League
Independiente 2 vs Lanus 2
3:1
Apr 29, 2025 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Independiente 2
2:2
Oct 3, 2024 Reserve League
Independiente 2 vs Lanus 2
1:1
Apr 24, 2024 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Independiente 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 2 35 / 100
Lanus 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente 2 Lanus 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente 2 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Independiente 2 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lanus 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente 2 VS Lanus 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente 2

(Home)
03 Nov
Newells Old Boys 2
2 : 2
Independiente 2
27 Oct
Independiente 2
4 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
20 Oct
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1 : 2
Independiente 2
13 Oct
Independiente 2
3 : 0
Huracan 2
07 Oct
Ferro 2
0 : 0
Independiente 2
Page 1 of 6

Lanus 2

(Away)
03 Nov
Lanus 2
4 : 2
Atl. Rafaela 2
27 Oct
Platense 2
1 : 3
Lanus 2
21 Oct
Lanus 2
4 : 1
Quilmes 2
14 Oct
Estudiantes L.P. 2
4 : 4
Lanus 2
08 Oct
Lanus 2
3 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 15 7 6 2 19:5 27
2 River Plate 2 15 6 8 1 26:14 26
3 Talleres Cordoba 2 15 7 5 3 18:11 26
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 15 7 4 4 15:12 25
5 Rosario Central 2 15 6 6 3 20:19 24
6 Godoy Cruz 2 15 5 7 3 19:15 22
7 Sarmiento Junin 2 15 5 7 3 14:10 22
8 San Lorenzo 2 15 6 3 6 17:17 21
9 Instituto 2 15 4 7 4 19:21 19
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 15 3 8 4 18:15 17
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 15 4 5 6 13:11 17
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 15 4 5 6 12:18 17
13 Racing Club 2 15 3 7 5 24:28 16
14 Aldosivi 2 15 3 6 6 13:18 15
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 15 3 6 6 10:15 15
16 Tigre 2 15 4 3 8 17:25 15
17 Barracas Central 2 15 2 7 6 11:21 13
18 Banfield 2 15 3 4 8 13:25 13
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 15 11 3 1 34:11 36
2 Lanus 2 15 10 3 2 34:19 33
3 Boca Juniors 2 15 8 4 3 19:9 28
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 15 8 4 3 23:20 28
5 Deportivo Riestra 2 15 8 3 4 26:15 27
6 Estudiantes L.P. 2 15 7 5 3 26:16 26
7 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 15 6 6 3 15:12 24
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 15 5 7 3 18:18 22
9 Huracan 2 15 6 3 6 15:13 21
10 Newells Old Boys 2 15 4 7 4 19:16 19
11 Ind. Rivadavia 2 15 5 3 7 21:26 18
12 Quilmes 2 15 4 5 6 12:17 17
13 Defensa y Justicia 2 15 3 7 5 21:24 16
14 Colon Santa Fe 2 15 4 2 9 13:22 14
15 San Martin S.J. 2 15 3 4 8 14:27 13
16 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 15 3 3 9 12:25 12
17 Platense 2 15 0 7 8 8:21 7
18 Ferro 2 15 1 4 10 9:26 7
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)