Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente 2 vs Quilmes 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Parmo T.
63' Event
Vazquez G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Independiente 2
20%
Draws
38%
Quilmes 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente 2 lately — more wins on the board than Quilmes 2.
  • Independiente 2 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Independiente 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente 2 Quilmes 2
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.21 1.09
Goals Conceded 1 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Reserve League
Independiente 2 vs Quilmes 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Parmo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Quilmes 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 2 77 / 100
Quilmes 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente 2 Quilmes 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente 2 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Independiente 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Quilmes 2 conceded in 50% of 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente 2 VS Quilmes 2
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente 2

(Home)
13 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
0 : 2
Independiente 2
05 Aug
Independiente 2
9 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
23 Jul
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 2
Independiente 2
16 Jul
Independiente 2
2 : 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
27 Jun
Independiente 2
2 : 3
Racing Club 2
Page 1 of 6

Quilmes 2

(Away)
13 Aug
Quilmes 2
1 : 0
Platense 2
05 Aug
Quilmes 2
1 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
23 Jul
Estudiantes L.P. 2
1 : 1
Quilmes 2
13 Jul
Quilmes 2
1 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
18 Jun
Quilmes 2
6 : 1
San Martin S.J. 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)