Sport Picks
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Torneo Federal Raul Orlando Lungarzo, Chivilcoy 
Match Events
35'
35'
Gay F.
46'
46'
Sub
Acuna L. In: Ramirez U.
Out: Acuna L.
46'
46'
Sub
Cisnero L. In: Aman Campos F.
Out: Cisnero L.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Independiente Chivilcoy and Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente Chivilcoy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo come out ahead of Independiente Chivilcoy on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Independiente Chivilcoy taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente Chivilcoy | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Independiente Chivilcoy
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:1
May 31, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:0
Jun 30, 2024 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Chivilcoy Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gay F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente Chivilcoy 59 / 100
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Chivilcoy Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Chivilcoy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Independiente Chivilcoy scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Independiente Chivilcoy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Independiente Chivilcoy VS Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente Chivilcoy
(Home) 19 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
3 : 0 Atletico Escobar
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
06 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
3 : 0 Atletico Escobar
06 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
12 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Sarmiento Resistencia
26 Jul
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 1 Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
(Away) 27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
08 Aug
Sol de America
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
