Sport Picks
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 
AI Match Summary
Independiente del Valle host Aucas in the Liga Pro. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aucas have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Independiente del Valle have conceded 0.91 and scored 2.32. Past meetings favor Independiente del Valle slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Independiente del Valle. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Independiente del Valle come out ahead of Aucas on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Independiente del Valle's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente del Valle have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 28 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente del Valle found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Independiente del Valle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Aucas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente del Valle
(Home)Aucas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43:34 | 54 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52:29 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 34:30 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 33:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
