Sport Picks
Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Cuenca
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 
Match Events
20'
20'
Rodriguez A.
46'
46'
Sub
Gonzalez D. In: Ordonez J.
Out: Gonzalez D.
53'
53'
Angulo J.
Assist: Rodriguez A.
AI Match Summary
Independiente del Valle in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente del Valle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente del Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Cuenca.
- Model gives Independiente del Valle a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente del Valle have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Dep. Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle
2:3
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle
0:3
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Cuenca
4:0
Jan 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Dep. Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente del Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Angulo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Dep. Cuenca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente del Valle 59 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente del Valle Dep. Cuenca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente del Valle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente del Valle scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Dep. Cuenca conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Independiente del Valle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente del Valle VS Dep. Cuenca
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente del Valle
(Home) 18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2 U. Catolica
26 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Deportes Tolima
15 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 2 Delfin
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Cuenca
(Away) 20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1 Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
22 Jul
Macara
3 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
