Sport Picks
Independiente del Valle vs Emelec
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Pro game between Independiente del Valle and Emelec finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente del Valle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Independiente del Valle come out ahead of Emelec on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Independiente del Valle taking it.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente del Valle | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 25 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente del Valle Compare
Emelec Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente del Valle's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Emelec let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Independiente del Valle stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente del Valle
(Home)Emelec
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
