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Independiente del Valle W vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Independiente del Valle W at 1.23 goals for, 1.54 against; CA Belgrano de Cordoba W at 1.14 for, 0.79 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.79 - 0.93) back CA Belgrano de Cordoba W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Independiente del Valle W
20%
Draws
40%
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Belgrano de Cordoba W lately — more wins on the board than Independiente del Valle W.
  • Independiente del Valle W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • CA Belgrano de Cordoba W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 20%
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente del Valle W CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
Matches Played 13 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente del Valle W 58 / 100
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente del Valle W CA Belgrano de Cordoba W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente del Valle W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente del Valle W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Independiente del Valle W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CA Belgrano de Cordoba W let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: CA Belgrano de Cordoba W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente del Valle W VS CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente del Valle W

(Home)
11 Oct
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
08 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
5 : 0
Always Ready W
05 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 0
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Oct
Corinthians W
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle W
19 Oct
Boca Juniors W
2 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
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CA Belgrano de Cordoba W

(Away)
02 Oct
Racing Club W
3 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
27 Sept
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
1 : 1
San Lorenzo W
19 Sept
Talleres Cordoba W
3 : 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
11 Sept
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
3 : 1
Ferro W
05 Sept
Boca Juniors W
0 : 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corinthians W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Universitario de Deportes W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Independiente del Valle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional de Football W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)