Sport Picks
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Ameliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa Paraguay Estadio Ameliano, Villeta 
Match Events
78'
78'
Dietze D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente FBC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Independiente FBC have won more games recently than Sportivo Ameliano.
- Model gives Independiente FBC a 48% chance of winning this.
- Independiente FBC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente FBC | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
Jul 19, 2023 Copa Paraguay
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:3
Sep 21, 2021 Copa Paraguay
Sportivo Ameliano vs Independiente FBC
2:1
Sep 11, 2021 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Ameliano vs Independiente FBC
1:2
Jun 5, 2021 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente FBC Compare
Top Goalscorer Dietze D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente FBC 85 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente FBC Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente FBC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Sportivo Ameliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Independiente FBC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente FBC VS Sportivo Ameliano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente FBC
(Home) 10 Oct
Independiente FBC
3 : 0 Atletico Tembetary
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3 Independiente FBC
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Independiente FBC
3 : 0 Atletico Tembetary
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0 Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 4
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
16 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
