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Independiente Juniors vs LDU Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
1 - 2
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente Juniors play LDU Quito in the Copa Ecuador. It looks like a close match. Recently, Independiente Juniors averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. LDU Quito averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Independiente Juniors won 0, LDU Quito won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Independiente Juniors and 1.19 for LDU Quito. This points to a LDU Quito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Independiente Juniors
30%
Draws
34%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • LDU Quito has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Independiente Juniors.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Independiente Juniors.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Ecuador increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Juniors LDU Quito
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Quito
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Sciacqua S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornejo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 36 / 100
LDU Quito 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Juniors LDU Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente Juniors scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

LDU Quito let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Independiente Juniors went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

LDU Quito lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS LDU Quito
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Africando1
Independiente Juniors2
Leones del Norte-
TBD-
Huaquillas FC1
Rio Aguarico0
Aucas-
TBD-
Guaranda0
San Antonio1
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
La Union1
Cumbaya0
Emelec-
TBD-
U.D. Juvenil0
Daquilema2
Guayaquil City-
TBD-
Astillero2
22 de Julio1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Dunamis1
EL Nacional5
Orense-
TBD-
Domingo TSA1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Primero de Mayo0
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Manta-
TBD-
Nazareno0
Nueve de Octubre4
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Dep. Quito0
Gualaceo1
Macara-
TBD-
Quito2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
Insutec4
Club Deportivo Ibarra3
Libertad-
TBD-
Ind. Azogues0
LDU Portoviejo5
Delfin-
TBD-
Banos2
Anaconda1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Juventud Italiana2
Atletico FC1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito2
Independiente Juniors1
Leones del Norte1
Huaquillas FC0
Aucas3
San Antonio0
Dep. Cuenca0
La Union1
Emelec0
Daquilema1
Guayaquil City1
Astillero2
U. Catolica4
EL Nacional1
Orense1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle2
Dep. Santo Domingo0
Manta1
Nueve de Octubre0
Mushuc Runa0
Gualaceo1
Macara1
CD Cuenca Juniors0
Barcelona SC4
Insutec2
Libertad1
LDU Portoviejo2
Delfin2
Banos0
Tecnico U.0
Juventud Italiana2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito-
Leones del Norte-
Aucas-
La Union-
Daquilema-
Astillero-
U. Catolica-
Vinotinto-
Independiente del Valle-
Manta-
Gualaceo-
Macara-
Barcelona SC-
LDU Portoviejo-
Delfin-
Juventud Italiana-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-