Sport Picks

Ecuador

Copa Ecuador

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente Juniors play LDU Quito in the Copa Ecuador. It looks like a close match. Recently, Independiente Juniors averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. LDU Quito averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Independiente Juniors won 0, LDU Quito won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Independiente Juniors and 1.19 for LDU Quito. This points to a LDU Quito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Independiente Juniors

25%

Draws

43%

LDU Quito

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Independiente Juniors picked up more points recently compared to LDU Quito.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 20%

LDU Quito Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independiente Juniors	LDU Quito
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	15
Draws	9	5
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.32	1.29
Goals Conceded	0.96	0.82
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Copa Ecuador

Independiente Juniors vs LDU Quito

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Sciacqua S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornejo F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 33 / 100

LDU Quito 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independiente Juniors LDU Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: LDU Quito or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Independiente Juniors attacking → ← attacking LDU Quito

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente Juniors scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

LDU Quito let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Independiente Juniors went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

LDU Quito lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 50

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75