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Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independiente Juniors host Vinotinto in the Serie B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Independiente Juniors at 0.75 goals for, 0.5 against; Vinotinto at 1.5 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Independiente Juniors have won 1 to Vinotinto's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Independiente Juniors. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Independiente Juniors
28%
Draws
22%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Independiente Juniors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Independiente Juniors taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Juniors Vinotinto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
2:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
3:2
Jul 11, 2024 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
1:1
Jun 13, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Apr 26, 2024 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 49 / 100
Vinotinto 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Juniors Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Independiente Juniors scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Vinotinto let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Independiente Juniors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS Vinotinto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Juniors

(Home)
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
09 Jul
Independiente Juniors
1 : 2
LDU Quito
03 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
Independiente Juniors
10 Jun
Independiente Juniors
4 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
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Vinotinto

(Away)
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
04 Jun
Vinotinto
1 : 1
Cumbaya
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Independiente Juniors1777318:1128
5Vinotinto1775523:1426
6Cumbaya1757519:1622
7San Antonio1748520:2020
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1766513:1118
1122 de Julio1743109:229
12EL Nacional17041310:291
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)