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Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Independiente Juniors Logo

Independiente Juniors

2 - 3
FT
Vinotinto Logo

Vinotinto

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Peralta H.
42' Event
Guelfi B.
56' Event
Garcia C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Independiente Juniors and Vinotinto finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Independiente Juniors
20%
Draws
60%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Vinotinto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vinotinto's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 19%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Juniors Vinotinto
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
2:3
Jul 23, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
2:0
May 3, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
2:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Independiente Juniors
3:2
Jul 11, 2024 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Vinotinto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Guelfi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente Juniors 12 / 100
Vinotinto 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Juniors Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinotinto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Independiente Juniors scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vinotinto let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Independiente Juniors remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente Juniors VS Vinotinto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente Juniors

(Home)
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
27 Aug
San Antonio
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Vinotinto

(Away)
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2
San Antonio
27 Aug
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vinotinto 27 13 7 7 36:21 46
2 Atletico FC 27 11 13 3 33:18 46
3 Nueve de Octubre 27 11 12 4 31:19 45
4 Independiente Juniors 27 11 11 5 33:23 44
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 27 10 8 9 22:29 38
6 San Antonio 27 7 11 9 26:32 32
Promotion - Liga Pro 2027 (First stage)