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Independiente vs Blooming - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Garces J.
Assist: Hinojosa R.
12'
19'
Duran D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Independiente
15%
Draws
8%
Blooming
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Independiente's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Independiente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Independiente Clean Sheet 12%
Blooming Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Blooming
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Copa Pacena
Blooming vs Independiente
0:1
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Blooming
5:2
May 13, 2026 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Blooming
3:1
Mar 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Blooming vs Independiente
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Independiente vs Blooming
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Urdininea C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willie
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Blooming Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 47 / 100
Blooming 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Blooming

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Blooming conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Independiente's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Independiente has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Blooming
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
12 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 0
Independiente
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3
Bolivar
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1
Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
Page 1 of 6

Blooming

(Away)
11 Oct
Bolivar
1 : 0
Blooming
09 Oct
Blooming
1 : 1
Bolivar
04 Oct
GV San Jose
3 : 2
Blooming
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1
Independiente
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0
Blooming
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)