Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción

Independiente

0 - 3

Botafogo RJ

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Eduardo

24'

Medina C.

29'

Sub

Rodriguez F. In: Leanos H.

Out: Rodriguez F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

Independiente

30%

Draws

58%

Botafogo RJ

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Botafogo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Botafogo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Independiente Clean Sheet 15%

Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independiente	Botafogo RJ
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	12
Draws	5	8
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1.29	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.89	1.36
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Independiente vs Botafogo RJ

0:3

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo RJ vs Independiente

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Barrera J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 35 / 100

Botafogo RJ 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independiente Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo RJ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Botafogo RJ conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Independiente remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Botafogo RJ

1.38 Goals Scored 1

2.13 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)

18 Sept

Independiente

1 : 3

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

13 Sept

Club Universitario de Vinto

3 : 1

Independiente

11 Sept

Bolivar

1 : 1

Independiente

06 Sept

Independiente

0 : 4

Bolivar

01 Sept

Tomayapo

3 : 0

Independiente

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Botafogo RJ

(Away)

19 Sept

Mirassol

2 : 0

Botafogo RJ

16 Sept

Botafogo RJ

3 : 2

Gremio

12 Sept

Botafogo RJ

1 : 1

Bragantino

06 Sept

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Palmeiras

30 Aug

Flamengo RJ

3 : 0

Botafogo RJ

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