Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente vs Industrial Aviles

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2018 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Independiente
17%
Draws
13%
Industrial Aviles
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Independiente haven't matched Industrial Aviles's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independiente a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Industrial Aviles arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Independiente Clean Sheet 16%
Industrial Aviles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Industrial Aviles
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Industrial Aviles
1:1
Nov 25, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Industrial Aviles vs Independiente
3:2
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Industrial Aviles
2:1
Sep 12, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Industrial Aviles vs Independiente
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 66 / 100
Industrial Aviles 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Industrial Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Industrial Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Industrial Aviles lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
25 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
21 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Real Potosi
16 Jul
Academia del Balompie
3 : 1
Independiente
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Independiente
27 May
Racing Club
2 : 0
Independiente
Page 1 of 7

Industrial Aviles

(Away)
27 Dec
Destroyers
2 : 0
Industrial Aviles
23 Dec
Industrial Aviles
1 : 2
Destroyers
18 Dec
Industrial Aviles
0 : 3
Always Ready
15 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 0
Industrial Aviles
08 Dec
Industrial Aviles
1 : 0
Always Ready
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Industrial Aviles4
Independiente3
Mariscal Sucre0
Always Ready6
Final
Industrial Aviles1
Always Ready8