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Independiente vs Plaza Amador Prediction & H2H Stats

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez, La Chorrera
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Berrocal O.
18'
Aguila R.
28'
Rivas R.

AI Match Summary

Plaza Amador in this LPF matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plaza Amador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Independiente
30%
Draws
37%
Plaza Amador
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plaza Amador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Amador have won more games recently than Independiente.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Plaza Amador
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 20
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.32 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 LPF
Independiente vs Plaza Amador
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 LPF
Independiente vs Plaza Amador
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Independiente
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 LPF
Independiente vs Plaza Amador
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Independiente
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Plaza Amador Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 34 / 100
Plaza Amador 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Plaza Amador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plaza Amador Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Independiente's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Plaza Amador's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Independiente has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Plaza Amador
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
20 Sept
Independiente
4 : 3
Sporting San Miguelito
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
08 Sept
UMECIT
2 : 0
Independiente
29 Aug
Tauro
2 : 1
Independiente
22 Aug
Independiente
3 : 0
Union Cocle
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Plaza Amador

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Cocle
1 : 2
Plaza Amador
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1
Veraguas
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
06 Sept
Plaza Amador
4 : 1
Herrera
30 Aug
San Francisco
4 : 1
Plaza Amador
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 16 9 4 3 28:16 31
2 Alianza 16 6 9 1 26:20 27
3 UMECIT 16 6 7 3 28:20 25
4 Tauro 16 5 6 5 22:19 21
5 Arabe Unido 16 6 3 7 16:20 21
6 Sporting San Miguelito 16 4 6 6 19:21 18
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Veraguas 16 7 4 5 26:23 25
2 Union Cocle 16 5 8 3 16:11 23
3 Independiente 16 4 8 4 18:14 20
4 San Francisco 16 5 5 6 22:25 20
5 Union Deportivo Universitario 16 3 5 8 19:27 14
6 Herrera 16 1 5 10 13:37 8
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)