Sport Picks

Independiente vs Racing Club Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre

Independiente

1 - 3

Racing Club

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Rojas D.

27'

Sosa G.

Assist: Forneris A.

37'

Martirena Torres G. N.

Assist: Sosa G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Independiente

15%

Draws

26%

Racing Club

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Racing Club have won more games recently than Independiente.
59% — that's where the model lands on Independiente taking it.
Racing Club arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Racing Club, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Independiente Clean Sheet 11%

Racing Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Independiente	Racing Club
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	4	7
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.45	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Racing Club vs Independiente

2:0

Apr 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Independiente vs Racing Club

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Racing Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Martirena Torres G. N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 83 / 100

Racing Club 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Independiente Racing Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Racing Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Independiente stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Racing Club

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)

27 Sept

GV San Jose

1 : 3

Independiente

22 Sept

Independiente

5 : 1

Tomayapo

18 Sept

Independiente

1 : 3

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

13 Sept

Club Universitario de Vinto

3 : 1

Independiente

11 Sept

Bolivar

1 : 1

Independiente

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Racing Club

(Away)

27 Sept

Racing Club

2 : 3

Boca Juniors

19 Sept

Racing Club

3 : 1

Sarmiento Junin

14 Sept

Huracan

2 : 1

Racing Club

07 Sept

Racing Club

1 : 2

Atl. Tucuman

31 Aug

Ind. Rivadavia

3 : 1

Racing Club

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