Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independiente vs Racing Club

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Rojas D.
27' Event
Sosa G.
Assist: Forneris A.
37' Event
Martirena Torres G. N.
Assist: Sosa G.

AI Match Summary

Racing Club in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Independiente
6%
Draws
90%
Racing Club
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Racing Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Club have won more games recently than Independiente.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Racing Club taking it.
  • Racing Club arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Racing Club, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Independiente Clean Sheet 12%
Racing Club Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Racing Club
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Racing Club vs Independiente
2:0
Apr 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Independiente vs Racing Club
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Racing Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martirena Torres G. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 10 / 100
Racing Club 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Racing Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Racing Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Racing Club's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Racing Club
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
21 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Real Potosi
16 Jul
Academia del Balompie
3 : 1
Independiente
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Independiente
27 May
Racing Club
2 : 0
Independiente
21 May
Independiente
0 : 3
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club

(Away)
16 Jul
Racing Club
4 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
27 May
Racing Club
2 : 0
Independiente
22 May
Racing Club
2 : 2
Caracas
13 May
Rosario Central
2 : 1
Racing Club
10 May
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 1
Racing Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)