Sport Picks
Independiente vs Royal Pari
Bolivia
Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre 
Match Events
10'
10'
Matheus Alves
Assist: Moriceau T.
24'
24'
Soleto W.
31'
31'
Thomaz
Assist: Aguilera D.
AI Match Summary
The Division Profesional 2024 game between Independiente and Royal Pari finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Royal Pari have managed 1 goals a game lately — Independiente are scoring more at 1.21.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Independiente taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Independiente Clean Sheet 68%
Royal Pari Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Royal Pari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 23, 2024 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Royal Pari
2:2
May 28, 2024 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Independiente
2:2
Jul 9, 2023 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Royal Pari
4:2
Feb 6, 2023 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Independiente
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Royal Pari
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomaz
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Royal Pari Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Alves
1 Goals Assists Leader Emerson Mineiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 50 / 100
Royal Pari 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Royal Pari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Royal Pari conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Independiente stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2 Independiente
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1 Aurora
01 Aug
Real Oruro
0 : 3 Independiente
25 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2 Oriente Petrolero
21 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2 Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1 Aurora
25 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2 Oriente Petrolero
21 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2 Real Potosi
21 May
Independiente
0 : 3 Botafogo RJ
13 May
Independiente
3 : 1 Blooming
Page 1 of 3
Royal Pari
(Away) 23 Feb
Royal Pari
0 : 1 Blooming
19 Feb
Blooming
2 : 2 Royal Pari
23 Dec
Real Oruro
3 : 0 Royal Pari
21 Dec
Royal Pari
4 : 0 Real Oruro
19 Dec
Royal Pari
3 : 1 GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6
19 Feb
Blooming
2 : 2 Royal Pari
23 Dec
Real Oruro
3 : 0 Royal Pari
18 Dec
Guabira
0 : 0 Royal Pari
11 Dec
Aurora
0 : 3 Royal Pari
08 Dec
Tomayapo
1 : 0 Royal Pari
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 76:25 | 67 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 62:34 | 60 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 62:40 | 48 |
| 4 | Aurora | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:40 | 48 |
| 5 | Always Ready | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 48:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 52:47 | 46 |
| 7 | Blooming | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:43 | 45 |
| 8 | Jorge Wilstermann | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 35:30 | 44 |
| 9 | Tomayapo | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 10 | Independiente | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 48:58 | 36 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:58 | 35 |
| 12 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 40:58 | 31 |
| 14 | Guabira | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36:53 | 30 |
| 15 | Royal Pari | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30:46 | 29 |
| 16 | Santa Cruz | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 30:68 | 22 |
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)
