Sport Picks
Independiente vs San Lorenzo
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda 
Match Events
6'
6'
Perruzzi I.
7'
7'
Arrayago J.
Assist: Montiel S.
26'
26'
Marcone I.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Independiente and San Lorenzo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Independiente a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Independiente Clean Sheet 20%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs San Lorenzo
1:1
May 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Independiente
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Independiente
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs San Lorenzo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Arrayago J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Farias F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 36 / 100
San Lorenzo 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Independiente stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS San Lorenzo
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Independiente
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Independiente
0 : 0 Ind. Rivadavia
17 Aug
Lanus
1 : 3 Independiente
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Independiente
0 : 0 Ind. Rivadavia
09 Aug
Independiente
0 : 1 Platense
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 3
San Lorenzo
(Away) 13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
15 Aug
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
04 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4:6 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Gimnasia L.P. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 3 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Ind. Rivadavia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 14 |
| 7 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Tigre | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5:6 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
